Modeling Ecological Changes to U.S. Forests

Fires and other disturbances are the primary agents of change in forests. A recent paper examines the connection between disturbances, climate change, and ecological change in U.S. forests.

In a Warmer Northwest, There Are More Large Fires

Even under low-emissions greenhouse gas scenarios, the probability of very large wildfires increases by at least 30 percent by 2100 in the West, according to a new study published in Climatic Change and led by Natasha Stavros of NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory. The Rocky Mountain region showed the largest increase in probability, followed by the…